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Some people make the mistake of 검증된 토토사이트 getting too caught up in metrics and data when they bet on the sports they like. The K.I.S.S. method is the best way to deal with a fight (Keep It Simple Stupid). Usually, when you look at a matchup, you can figure out what to do. That answer is usually correct. There will always be games that can go either way, like when two strong teams meet. The best way to avoid getting down on these games is to not get down at all.

The question we often ask isn’t “who will win?” “Who will lose?” “Who will pay the spread?” When I say “basketball and football,” I mean these two sports. Only if you like puck lines and run lines do you have to think about a point spread when you think about baseball and hockey. fnwarm

Some people get so excited about statistics that the data starts to cancel out the two teams. A good rule of thumb is to only look at data that is most important to you, the ones that matter. Turnovers, for example, are an unexpected part of football. During this game, I’m not going to assume that the team that has 1.4 fumbles per game is going to have more than the team that has two fumbles per game. If you look at game records, you can figure out what winners and losers did and didn’t do.

This way, you can figure out which 메이저 토토사이트 numbers to look at. There are some of these figures that will amaze you because they stay the same even when they change. This is the time of year when there are a lot of games like football, basketball, and hockey. I’ll go over some of the most important things about each game. As you read through my systems sections, this will also help you understand why I put certain parts of a game in those sections.

There are a lot of things I believe in when it comes to football, and one of them is the Yards per pass stat. Many people have disagreed with this, which is fine. I made it sound like that was the only thing to think about, which was probably not true. Take a look at the NFL box scores on Yahoo right now and see how many winners had more yards per pass than the losers. You’ll see that only a few teams each week won the game with a lower YPP. Just knowing this gives you a very important stat to look at when you’re handicapping. If you want to figure out who will win the game or who will cover the spread, this is an important number. Then we’d all be millionaires, and Vegas would be broke because it would be true.

Another way to figure out which teams are winners and losers is to look at the margins of victory and defeat. In both football and basketball, this method can be used to figure out who can beat the spread. It also works for both sports. Make sure you only look at games 최상위 토토사이트 in your conference or division instead of the total number of games to get a good sample size for any stat. Conference games are when teams are at their best, and you can get a good idea of how good they are when they’re desperate for a win. Look at this week’s Thursday night game and see what we can find.


Based on their records, you should already think that Indy will win the game outright. They are both 11-4 and 5-9. This part is easy, but not that easy. This means that Jacksonville still has a chance to win or lose this game by less than 6 points. So let’s look at some important statistics to help us decide.

To start, we’ll look at how many yards each team scored and how many points they gave up.

A YPPO-YPPD matchup in Indianapolis MARGIN 6.7 6.3 6.3 0.4

JACKSONVILLE 6.2 7.2 to 1.0 6.2 7.2-1.0

If you look at all of the data, you can see this. It’s a little better for Indianapolis in the passing game and the score. There are a lot of different ways to look at yards per rush.

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INDIANAPOLIS -0.7 to say it another way: JACKSONVILLE MATCHUPYPRD MARGIN 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

An interesting result: The metrics are about even, with Jacksonville having a small lead. Then let’s see what we can 토토사이트 추천토복이 come up with if we only play games in groups. So that I can get a good sample size, I’ve chosen division data over conference stats because it’s late enough in the season.

A YPPO-YPPD matchup in Indianapolis MARGIN -0.6


When division games are used, the stats change a lot, making the Colts look worse than their record and Jacksonville look like they’re about right. Another thing to keep in mind when you come back is to look for things that have changed. This season, we all know that Indy had a rough start. The team has gotten better as the year went on. If you want to look at all of the numbers for each play, this is a great way to do it. You can look at yards per pass, yards per play, yards per point, and yards per rush. In the next part, we’ll look at score margins only for games in the same division.

JACKSONVILLE has a score of 26.5 27 0.5. The matchup PF PA margin is 18.8 23.8 5.

Is there anything else we can learn from this? For the first game, 44 points don’t seem like a lot, but both teams allow an average of 50.8 points per division game and 7.5 yards per pass defense. The average score in the league is 22 points, and the average number of yards per pass is 6.5. To figure out how many points a team has, it is more important to look at defenses than offensive metrics show. There is a good reason for this. A good offense will beat a bad defense. It may be hard for an above-average offense to score when they are up against an above-average defense.

Who will take care of the spread? Indianapolis looks like it has a good chance of winning, but it won’t be able to cover 토토사이트 목록 the spread. I’m sorry, but there isn’t enough evidence for me to pick Indianapolis in this game, so I’m going to let it slip by.

Other than yards per point, we didn’t look at any other data. Yards per point can do all the work for you. When I teach the next class, I’ll go into more detail about how many yards each point costs. A powerful thing will blow your mind. We’ll talk about that in part two of the K.I.S.S. method. So, in the third section, I’ll talk about basketball because that’s what will happen after football, so I’ll talk about that.